E-Villan wrote:If we want to avoid Thursday night, we are going to have to find two more teams to get behind us. The obvious answer to that would be the other two teams we are currently tied with at 5-6, Indiana State and Missouri State. Here is the remaining schedules for the three of us.
UE (5-6): @ILST, VALPO, @MSU, @UNI, LUC, @INST, SIU
MSU (5-6): @LUC, @INST, UE, @SIU, DU, BU, @UNI
INST (5-6): @UNI, MOST, LUC, @DU, SIU, UE, @BU
Head to head, the three of us all have one remaining game with each of us, so the opportunity is there to put a team a game back. Looking at this angle, Indiana State gets both us and MSU at home, MSU gets us at home and a roadie with INST, and we have to take both MSU and INST on the road. Slight nod in the head to head to Indiana State.
All three of us have to go to UNI, never an easy place for anyone to play. All three of us still have a game with Loyola, us and INST get them at home, while MSU has to play in Chicago.
I think Indiana State may have an overall advantage with the remaining schedule. Not by much. Our only positive is we have two games left with teams behind us, and they each only have one. I think we are going to need to win a minimum of 4 to get ahead of both MSU and INST, and possibly 5. In short, we are going to have to knock off both INST and MSU on the road, beat Valpo and SIU at home, and get at least 1 win between ILST, Loyola and UNI....all without Dru.
I can see a win against Valpo here, maybe a 50-50 shot at beating UNI there, and with Dru a chance of beating SIU here, and without Dru a loss. The other games are losses. That's my best guess at this time.