All of the remaining games are pretty much must win games for different reasons:
- 1. They need to win their home games against Loyola and SIU;and
- 2. Road games against Northern Iowa and Indiana State are must win games because these are the teams that we need to either keep behind us are put behind us to be one of the top six teams in the league.
So we need to keep Valpo and Northern Iowa behind us; We need to put two other teams behind us (with Indiana State and Bradley or Missouri State being the most likely teams).
According to the Sagarin Ratings this is how I see the line on our remaining games
(not factoring in the Dru Smith factor of whether he plays or not):
@ Northern Iowa - UE a 5.8 point underdog
Loyola - UE a 4.85 point underdog
@Indiana State - UE a 3.92 point underdog
Southern Illinois - UE favored by 0.82 points
Thoughts on whether Evansville can pull this out.